Update of The Status of Numerical Weather Prediction

Abstract

1:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. Update of the Status of Numerical Weather Prediction Numerical Weather Prediction (i.e., weather models), apart from climatology, are the basis for all weather forecasts beyond about 2 hours into the future. Aviation weather hazards are forecasted either through further processing (e.g., inflight icing and turbulence) or direct use of model output (e.g., convective weather). In addition, model output is used for analysis fields in data sparse areas. This session will provide an update on recent advances in aviation numerical weather prediction, future plans of NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), industry trends and capabilities, and a question and answer session ensuring aviation users are prepared to use coming information. (Danny Sims – FAA, Stephen Weygandt – NOAA, Geoff Manikin – NOAA, Maria Pirone – Harris)