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Thomas Jones authored and/or contributed to the following articles/publications.
Forecasting High-Impact Weather in Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Using a Warn-on-Forecast System
Landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) are among the greatest natural threats to life and property in the United States, since they can produce multiple hazards associated with convective storms over a wide region. Of these hazards, tornadoes within TC rainbands pose a particularly difficult forecast problem owing to their rapid evolution and their...
Institution National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration - NOAA
Prototype of a Warn-on-Forecast System for Smoke (WoFS-Smoke)
This research begins the process of creating an ensemble-based forecast system for smoke aerosols generated from wildfires using a modified version of the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS). The existing WoFS has proven effective in generating short-term (0–3 h) probabilistic forecasts of high-impact weather ...
Institution National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration - NOAA
Assimilation of Aerosol Optical Depth Into the Warn-on-Forecast System for Smoke (WoFS-Smoke)
This research extends the Warn-on-Forecast System for Smoke (WoFS-Smoke) by adding the capability to assimilate aerosol optical depth (AOD) retrievals from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite Series-R (GOES-R) satellites. The WoFS is a rapidly cycling, ensemble-based analysis and forecasting system designed to generate short te...
Institution National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration - NOAA